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Tomorrow’s news told 10 years in advance
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09/25/2022
 

How the Syrian Crisis Is Ending

Tomorrow’s news told 10 years in advance

BY MIHAILO S. ZEKIC

This month marked the 11-year anniversary of the start of the Syrian civil war. Since 2011, Syrian dictator Bashar Assad has bombed his own cities and used chemical weapons on civilians. Many hoped the war would oust Assad and bring peace, prosperity and security to Syrians. Yet he has managed to cling to power throughout the crisis. Despite the bloodbath, it looks like Assad is here to stay.

Due to Assad’s actions in the war, most of the moderate Arab world has been shunning him. But with the civil war starting to calm, moderate Arabs are ready to welcome Assad’s Syria back into their community.

Syria is a major Iranian ally, but many of the countries making overtures to Syria are not on friendly terms with Iran. As an isolated regime, Syria would probably take whatever economic assistance is offered. But many suspect Assad’s dealings with the moderate Arabs mean he wants to leave the Iranian sphere.

Assad’s surviving as president of Syria through more than 10 years of civil war is remarkable. Even more remarkable is his apparent willingness to split with one of his major sponsors.

But what may be most remarkable is a forecast that this split would occur—a forecast made nearly a decade ago.

 

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